The Future of Trains
Group 5 // SSES Course Trendspotting & Future Thinking September&October, 2008
Wednesday, October 15, 2008
Q & A Directory
How does it actually work?
A,1
First of all, the main point of our plan is the concept; "One train, one time".
But of course we have some ideas and also spotted some technological trends as to how our trains will work. Let us show you.
-"System" presentation by Mikihisa could be acquired upon request. It is about a system that transports people individually by making use of gravity as the main force.
-See a clip about Maglev trains by clicking here. Basically what we are saying is that the appropriate speed will be applied for the appropriate distance so distances will not deeply affect people's relationships as they do now.
-The maximum speed we are envisioning is only half of a speed shuttle's. This is to give you an idea about the feasability of such a system.
-A "New World Map" Miki has prepared could be acquired upon request.
Q.2
How do you relate this idea to trends?
A.2
We have carried out a deep investigation into many aspects related to train travel. We have talked to experts on the subject, like Mark Smith. As a result of all these we have come up with some key concepts.
(A pdf could be acquired about this)
-Train advocates can say this is a socially, environmentally, economically advantageous means of transport. However, people do not really care about this.
-With the technologies we have right now, virtual reality can be used to transform people's environments in a way that they can do whatever they want during the course of their travel. -Another side to technology use is to make travel much more integrated. The important thing is "to get from point A to point B with the least of worries, questions, problems. No one cares about the fact that the blue line is on fire" as Mark Smith puts it. There should be a system that lays down all the possibilities of getting from A to B for a passenger and lets him/her to choose. This is where real convenience for individual choice comes into play. All these are possible with today's technology, it's just a matter of applying them.
-Time is probably the most important value in our world. Successful people are the ones who can manage their time well. Distances are another issue in our era. Our concepts connects all these dots together.
-Energy and environmental issues are hot topics of our time. We have aimed to address them by not necessarily focusing on them individually, but looking at the whole picture. In other words, from our perspective, a train that is very environmentally-friendly but really slow does not qualify as a good one.
-We have also looked into cities and urban planning. The trend is that cities are going to get clustered since they are commercially, culturally, socially, etc. the crucial centers and everyone wants to be close to them. We were seeking a solution to connect all these hubs together in a seamless and integrated way. Imagine a 'subway-map'like visual, and a "journey planner" for the whole world.
Monday, October 13, 2008
Travel Without Travel
An interesting conversation was had today with Rolf Hughes on the subject time and travel, more specifically the ability to travel to another space, without actually having to be in that space.
Those clever people at KTH organised a concert entitled point 25 that was held at the KTH Learning Lab in Stockholm. 4 performers and an audience. Not unusual. Except that half the people present were performing / sitting in the Wallenberg Hall at Stanford, USA. Same Space. Different Place.
The real-time link up uses one of the fastest high-speed fiber optic broadband cables, and currently sports a meagre 0 point 25, delay (hence the name of the concert). It is a project that the Swedish governement is very interested in developing and implementing, as it has great probabilities for those who live in remote rural areas, and thus keep these areas thriving and reduce the strain on major cities.
Perhaps we are talking in the future more a form of virtual travel… but there are many social implications, such as the shake of a hand, a hug, direct eye contact, that are currently missing from the picture.
Incorporating Virtual Reality In Time-Oriented Train Travel
The first one is from a documentary called "Zeitgeist: Addendum". A very big part of this documentary was dedicated to ideas about building a better future. Of course, transportation had its place in this part, and below is a short videoclip from that documentary, which talks about future possibilities in train transport.
What we see in this video is amazingly similar to the ideas we have been discussing in our group. It provides information about the technological infrastructure that is available even today, but just not in common use. Things like these require a paradigm shift, in the sense of re-evaluating the systems that we have been sticking with up to now, abandoning the ones that do not work well enough to meet our expectations, and finally replacing them with the ones that will enable a much more positive future. Simple as that.
Rolf Hughes, our professor in the department of Interdisciplinary Studies at Konstfack, told us today about the recent research projects carried out at KTH. He was talking about a simultaneous online music-making experience. This was accomplished using fiber optic cables, linking musicians in Sweden to their counterparts in the United States. This idea reminded me of what Mark Smith had told us a few days ago, saying in the future, virtual reality will enable people to choose their own personal experiences during the course of their physical travel. Given the sophistication of virtual reality even today, all these ideas get even easier to conceive of. To link all these again to transportation, it will not be an issue to figure out how one gets from 'point A' to 'point B' and what environmental effects they will be exposed to. "One thing that might still be of concern will be time", Mark Smith said as he agreed with us.
After this inspirational last-minute input, I am looking even more forward to Thursday's presentation!
Friday, October 10, 2008
Mark Smith on "Human Logistics"
Mark has been working with SL to provide them with a new approach to urban transport, for which he coins the term "Human Logistics". To explain his approach better, he said that companies like SL should focus on getting its passengers from 'point A' to 'point B' without them having to figure out anything. He pointed to the mistake made by most companies today to be very vehicle-oriented (e.g. our subway trains are very durable) or specifically-service-oriented (e.g. our buses run on time). Contrary to this approach, he noted that most passengers do not actually care too much about all these details, they rather want to get where they want to get, during which, for some, the priority is price, and, maybe, duration for others. Thus it is important to have a very well-integrated system that is also informative to a great extent.
As we left the room to head to our 'disintegrated' transport systems which would take us home, our minds were thrilled by the bits of inspiration from the fantastic talk we had with Mark. It was hard to realize how the two hours just went by; maybe every traveler needs a Mark Smith to forget about time concerns!
Monday, September 29, 2008
Time, Berlin and Albert
I was having a conversation about the future of travel today, and one underlying theme kept recurring which was the necessity of networking; more specifically, the ability to change quickly between networks. This is something that seems to be a necessary factor for future transport, that perhaps we will still have various forms of transport, but that we will need to change between these forms seemlessly.
Coming back to this idea of time ruling travel instead of distance, I’ve been getting deeper into the mathematics of networks (phew) which I’m cunningly trying to skirt around while still trying to absorb the interesting bits. The work of Fabio Lamanna an his time=net.work is particularily interesting and relevant in his study of the berlin transportation network. Lamanna’s work is extremely inspired by the Hungarian scientist Albert-László Barabási and his book Linked: The New Science of Networks, which is interesting in that it formulates a mathematical formula for the growth and development of networks.
“Barabási has found that the websites that form the network (of the WWW) have certain mathematical properties. The conditions for these properties to occur are threefold. The first is that the network has to be expanding, growing. This precondition of growth is very important as the idea of emergence comes with it. It is constantly evolving and adapting. That condition exists markedly with the world wide web. The second is the condition of preferential attachment, that is, nodes (websites) will wish to link themselves to hubs (websites) with the most connections. The third condition is what is termed competitive fitness which in network terms means its rate of attraction.”
It is interesting to think of the future of the network of trains in a similar way to the current internet network. The ease at which I link to a new website now, may be how easy it will be in the future to link to a new travel destination. Incredibly conceptual I know, but something to discuss and think about surely.
Monday, September 22, 2008
Bad Feeding the Good
One Time to Rule All Distance
New York Tube map redesigned to show travel times via New York Times
image courtesy of eurorail
It seems that as we become more connected; more globalised, the time it takes to get somewhere by train is taking longer. Take Stockholm to Amsterdam for instance. A decade or two ago, it was possible to go directly from Stockholm to Amsterdam with just one change, in either Copenhagen or Hamburg. Now, if I wanted to travel by train to Amsterdam, I would have to change 3 times and the trip would last longer than 17 hours. (Sounds like one of those high school maths problems is coming up doesn’t it.)
So as we create faster and faster trains, the distances we travel can be further, yet we still need to stop on the way to make the trip economic to say the least. Therefore, could an idea be proposed whereby the future of travel will reach a terminal time similar to terminal velocity? For example, the time it took the slow local train to reach the city center would also be the time it took the fast train to reach the other side of the world. Distance would no longer be measured in time. It would take the same, or similar, time to get anywhere you wanted.
How would this change the notion of the place where you lived? What would the world look like if this was the case?